Step 4 : Predict & Review

Aggregate Req. Lift

ISOLATED
BASKET
+68% High Risk

Inventory Deficit

2 out of 3 SKUs lack sufficient On-Hand inventory across the South Trade Area to meet the break-even volume requirement.

Cannibalization Risk

Historical data shows a 20% discount on Jameson heavily shifts volume away from Jack Daniels (-12%).

Historical Match

Similar promotion run in Q3 2023 yielded an actual lift of +42% (Short of the 68% required today).

UPC Product Name Unit Cost Reg Retail Promo (20%) Base Vol/Wk BE Vol/Wk Req Lift % Current SOH Inv. Status
080432500101 Jameson Whiskey 50ml $1.20 $2.99 $2.39 850 1,277 +50.2% 1,500 OK
080432500125 Jameson Whiskey 200ml $4.50 $9.99 $7.99 420 660 +57.1% 450 OOS RISK
080432500149 Jameson Whiskey 375ml $8.00 $15.99 $12.79 210 350 +66.7% 180 OOS RISK
Aggregate Totals (South Area) 1,480 2,287 +54.5% 2,130